Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Arlington, Oregon 97812. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? DFS Golf News. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Then it just comes down to the putter. So, we set out to create a place that matched the The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. Full Leaderboard . He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship He will in all likelihood lose strokes putting at Bay Hill this week as well. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Click on the odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Skip to navigation. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! follow. World No. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Fax: (541) 454-2753. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The Twitter handle is a joke. Honda: Sungjae Im. Hes not backing down. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." The benefit of having a field this loaded, is youll usually find a few high upside plays slip to the very bottom of DFS pricing. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Now its Rorys turn. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Who has won the most US Masters titles? Its even more encouraging to see that Conners has found early success on these greens, gaining strokes putting in two of his first three appearances at this event. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. Zozo: Sungjae Im. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. Shriners: Sungjae Im. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. CrazyTown, USA. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon. Skip to main content. It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only (... 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